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Tonight, the initial jobless claims in the United States will be announced, and this data may have a significant impact on the Crypto Assets market. Investors should closely follow this data, as it may trigger different reactions in the market.
If the initial unemployment claims exceed expectations, it may intensify market concerns about a slowdown in the job market. In this case, the Federal Reserve may lean towards cutting interest rates, which could potentially drive funds into the Crypto Assets market. Historical data shows that since 2025, whenever the initial unemployment claims exceed expectations by 10,000, the average increase in Bitcoin within the following 24 hours reaches 3.2%.
On the contrary, if the data falls below expectations, it may reinforce the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will maintain a high interest rate policy. This could lead to a stronger dollar, with funds flowing back to traditional assets, putting pressure on the price of Bitcoin. For example, if the data drops to 224,000, below the expected 225,000, the price of Bitcoin may be suppressed.
For investors looking to seize investment opportunities, it is crucial to closely follow the price trends of Bitcoin after data is released. Pay special attention to whether the price can break through important resistance levels or gain effective support at support levels. These signals can help investors determine the appropriate timing and position for entry.
Some analysts believe that the market has already experienced an early decline this week, and even if the data is poor, further declines may be limited. Therefore, the current low prices may provide a buying opportunity. It is even possible that a situation of 'bad news fully priced in' may occur, leading the market to rebound immediately.
Regardless, investors should remain cautious, manage risks well, and make decisions based on their investment strategies and risk tolerance. The high volatility of the Crypto Assets market means that opportunities and risks coexist, making rational analysis and careful operation crucial.